Strength
Strength
|
46 23 5 Rank in State, Class, District |
889 -125 Strength Momentum |
1049 39.4(58) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) |
| Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/24/15 | Albuquerque Academy | 0.000 | 1268 | L 0- 2 | Expected (+2) | 967 | 16% | |
| 08/26/15 | at Sandia | 0.000 | 1340 | L 0- 2 | Expected (+3) | 1026 | 10% | |
| 08/29/15 | at Rio Rancho | 0.000 | 1444 | L 1- 4 | Expected (+3) | 1028 | 6% | |
| 09/01/15 | at Manzano | 0.001 | 1120 | L 1- 2 | Expected (+2) | 966 | 25% | |
| 09/03/15 | at Rio Grande ? | 0.001 | 931 | L 1- 2 | Expected (0) | 871 | 43% | |
| 09/08/15 | Eldorado | 0.002 | 1533 | L 1- 6 | Expected (+1) | 947 | 5% | |
| 09/10/15 | at Highland ! | 0.004 | 907 | W 2- 0 | Better (+2) | 1010 | 46% | |
| 09/11/15 | Clovis | 0.004 | 1305 | L 0- 3 | Expected (+1) | 935 | 14% | |
| 09/17/15 | Gallup | 0.015 | 581 | W 3- 0 | Expected (0) | 874 | 82% | |
| 09/23/15 | at Valley | 0.032 | 1049 | L 0- 4 | Expected (-2) | 780 | 31% | |
| 09/26/15 | Rio Grande ?? | 0.059 | 931 | L 0- 1 | Expected (-1) | 848 | 48% | |
| 10/02/15 | at Atrisco Heritage !! | 0.123 | 964 | W 1- 0 | Better (+2) | 988 | 39% | |
| 10/03/15 | at Del Norte | 0.137 | 895 | W 1- 0 | Better (+1) | 954 | 47% | |
| 10/07/15 | Albuquerque | 0.105 | 1514 | L 0- 5 | Expected (+1) | 937 | 5% | |
| 10/10/15 | Valley | 0.248 | 1049 | L 0- 2 | Expected (-1) | 857 | 35% | |
| 10/14/15 | at Rio Grande | 0.401 | 931 | T 1- 1 | Better (+1) | 922 | 43% | |
| 10/21/15 | Atrisco Heritage | 0.597 | 964 | L 0- 1 | Expected (0) | 865 | 44% | |
| 10/24/15 | at Albuquerque | 0.375 | 1514 | L 0- 6 | Expected (0) | 909 | 4% | |
|
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals West Mesa actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 1049, while
West Mesa's "weighted playing strength" is 898
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.69 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/17/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 11/07/15)
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